Where Will Your Children Work? The Job Forecast for 2030

Posted on May 19 2010 - 10:53am by Tony Gonzalez

People who have made the decision to relocate to another city in search of work, but who have not yet made a decision about where to relocate, may want to consult Mint.com’s list of the 10 cities that are forecast to add the most jobs by the year 2030. Another good list to consult is Mint.com’s list of the top ten cities for annual job growth. The only city to appear on both lists is Las Vegas.

Mint.com’s data was gathered by NPA Data Services, Inc., a Washington D.C. economic research company. Although the top ten cities are listed at Mint.com, NPA also produces a report, Key Indicators of County Growth, 1970-2030, which breaks down its data by county for all 3098 U.S. counties. The top ten cities are as follows:

  • Atlanta, Georgia (projected to have 2.5 million new jobs by 2030)
  • Dallas, Texas (2.4 million new jobs)
  • Phoenix, Arizona (2 million)
  • Los Angeles, California (1.9 million)
  • Houston, Texas (1.8 million)
  • Las Vegas, Nevada (1.7 million)
  • Washington, D.C. (1.7 million)
  • Miami, Florida (1.6 million)
  • Denver, Colorado (1.3 million)
  • Orlando, Florida (1.2 million)

In addition to the list of the cities that will add the most jobs, Mint.com lists the cities which are expanding the fastest. Since the fastest-expanding cities are not necessarily the biggest cities, this list is quite different. It’s based on the percentage of annual job growth:

  • St. George, Utah (4.88% annual job growth)
  • Palm Coast, Florida (4.51%)
  • Las Vegas, Nevada (3.99%)
  • Naples, Florida (3.89%)
  • Lake Havasu, Arizona (3.73%)
  • Punta Gorda, Florida (3.52%)
  • Cape Coral, Florida (3.39%)
  • Prescott, Arizona (3.20%)
  • Bend, Oregon (3.15%)
  • Austin, Texas (3.0%)

Until scientists develop a crystal ball that will allow forecasters and statisticians to look into the future, it is impossible to be sure whether the forecasts on these lists are accurate. The cities on the lists are likely to change over time, as 2030 gets closer. However, most analysts are predicting that the job growth of the future will be in cities, as opposed to rural and suburban areas. Last week, Newsweek predicted that as a consequence of urban job growth, more people will telecommute or take public transportation to work.

What sorts of jobs will people have in the future? A British report that came out earlier this year speculates about the creation of new science and technology-connected jobs. The report, which was done by Fast Future, a research group that does scenario planning for various industries, listed the 20 science and technology jobs that are likely to be the most common. They include:

  • nano-medics, to do health care that relies on nanotechnology
  • space pilots, space tour guides, and architects to design space stations for the Moon or other off-planet destinations
  • vertical farmers, to grow food in a vertical space in an urban environment
  • virtual lawyers, to handle the burgeoning field of Internet law
  • classroom avatar managers, to manage the avatars that Fast Future predicts will replace teachers
  • alternative vehicle developers, to design zero-emission cars

Fast Future’s report also predicted that the people of 2030 will have an average of eight to ten jobs within their lifetimes. Analysts predict that people will have to continually retrain for the work world because of changing technology.

Sources used:

Arup, Tom. “Carbon cuts will ‘create 4m jobs.’” The Sydney Morning Herald. May 19, 2010.

Crooks, Ross. “Where the jobs will be: cities with most jobs created by 2030.” Mint.com. Feb. 19, 2010.

Fuller, Stephen S. “Commentary: Washington area’s housing problem is even bigger than you think.” The Washington Post. May 10, 2010.

Johnson, Laurie, Natural Resources Defense Council. “Comprehensive climate and energy legislation: more jobs, not fewer.” Opposing Views.com. April 25, 2010.

Nusca, Andrew. “Top 20 most popular future jobs of 2030: vertical farmer, limb maker, waste data handler, narrowcaster.” SmartPlanet.  Jan. 19, 2010.

Philips, Matthew. “Where you will work next.” Newsweek. May 10, 2010.